Category: MENA

Nusra – Al Qaeda Split: Rebranding or Reform?

Following Jabhat al-Nusra’s decision to split from the main Al-Qaeda structure with mutual acceptance, this descriptive analysis explores the organization’s history and its motives of this decision. It also considers…

Following Jabhat al-Nusra’s decision to split from the main Al-Qaeda structure with mutual acceptance, this descriptive analysis explores the organization’s history and its motives of this decision. It also considers prospective outcomes, taking into account all the major inputs of the regional and local chessboard as well as the geopolitical array.

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Turkey: Army, State and Fear

From the Coup aftermath series, this analysis approaches a much more prospective subject but with an introspective character. The risks of having the entire top commanders of the Army arrested…

From the Coup aftermath series, this analysis approaches a much more prospective subject but with an introspective character. The risks of having the entire top commanders of the Army arrested and the way the State and the Army will work in the future having faced the AKP-Gulen Movement element are main pillars of this analysis. Moreover the very likely scenario in which the political class would not be capable of trusting the Army anymore is already shaping. As an effect, the political body would need to take decisions to evade its dependency on the Armed Forces; even if that mean’s outsourcing security. 

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Saving Erdogan: a Short Story

Turkey’s Government retook the overall control over a situation that not long ago was considered as being wrapped. What happened that changed the course of the Coup and how did…

Turkey’s Government retook the overall control over a situation that not long ago was considered as being wrapped. What happened that changed the course of the Coup and how did Erdogan survive?

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Failed Coup in Turkey: First Hand Observation

This analysis approaches the recent situation in the Republic of Turkey the began in the night of 15th of July. A group of top army officers have attempted a coup d’etat using…

This analysis approaches the recent situation in the Republic of Turkey the began in the night of 15th of July. A group of top army officers have attempted a coup d’etat using defense assets to seize critical infrastructure, news companies, public administration and AKP buildings, in order to overthrow the current government led by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Prime-Minister Binali Yildirim. 

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Sections

A selection of the most prominent contemporary and evolving geopolitical episodes. Each section has focused content to paint a bigger know-how picture as possible. Please follow and like us:

A selection of the most prominent contemporary and evolving geopolitical episodes. Each section has focused content to paint a bigger know-how picture as possible.

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The Forgotten “Wild Card”: Israel in Syria

Recent Context Following Benjamin’s Netanyahu’s Monday announcement, we can conclude that Israel has hit “dozens of targets” in Syria against Hezbollah. No further detailed intelligence is known except that the…

Recent Context

Following Benjamin’s Netanyahu’s Monday announcement, we can conclude that Israel has hit “dozens of targets” in Syria against Hezbollah. No further detailed intelligence is known except that the motivation for the attacks was to stop the Shiia non-state actor from acquiring more weapons. The purpose of this analysis is to unravel what’s Israel’s interest in Syria and how can it be applied on the current scenario.

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Firm but Fair: The downing of a Russian jet by Turkey

(Republished from November 24th 2015) ANKARA, TURKEY – Today Turkish F-16’s have downed an Russian Su-24 Russian fighter jet  in northern Latakia, near the Turkish border. This is a major event…

(Republished from November 24th 2015)

ANKARA, TURKEY – Today Turkish F-16’s have downed an Russian Su-24 Russian fighter jet  in northern Latakia, near the Turkish border. This is a major event and a considerable escalation, being the first direct engagement between NATO and Russia in the last decades. Its unclear if it will be a game changer or just an short term but alarming episode.

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Context and Risks of the “Little Green Men” in Syria

Context The following is a risk assessment regarding recent intelligence reports of Russian activity in Syria. Apart from advising and weapon supply, this includes capacity building and asset deployment.  In…

Context

The following is a risk assessment regarding recent intelligence reports of Russian activity in Syria. Apart from advising and weapon supply, this includes capacity building and asset deployment.  In the eve of a re-emergence of Russia’s willingness to intervene in the Middle East, in this content we will prospect what implication could that have on the New Middle Eastern Order, but also possible and immediate tactical and operational effects.

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